Around the League: Who Should I Watch Out For?

Larry Fitzgerald Arizona CardinalsTraining camp is now underway, and as players get back into steady action, here are a few players to keep an eye on for the upcoming season:

Tom Brady missed almost all of last year with a torn ACL suffered in the first game of the season. As backup Matt Cassel eventually righted the ship that most people thought was left to sink, the Patriots scrounged out an impressive, but disappointing, 11-5 record while missing the playoffs. After trading Cassel away, the Patriots organization must believe one of two things: Either Tom Brady is fully healthy and ready to return to 2007 form, or Matt Cassel, like Brady or any quarterback, is a dispensable product of their system. Either way, only time will tell how Brady bounces back after injury. If this is any indication of my opinion of Brady’s recovery, I fantasy drafted Brady with my late first round pick. As a complimentary player, Randy Moss should have a bounce back year. I can’t see Moss putting up 22 touchdowns this year, but if Brady has to toss the ball around even near as much this year as his 2007-2008 season where he played most games with a comfortable lead, Moss could easily put up double digit touchdowns.

Larry Fitzgerald put on a show in the 2009 playoffs, but will the production carry over to the regular season? Although Fitzgerald was quite spotlighted by defenses to begin with, Fitzgerald will most likely receive even more defensive attention after the recent media and fan worshiping. As a result, I’m predicting that Anquon Boldin and Steve Breaston will greatly benefit from the defensive attention Fitzgerald takes away similar to last year. In 2008, Boldin’s 11 touchdowns in 12 games was greatly attributed to the force opposite of him. After Fitzgerald’s playoff production, I only see the attention increasing. Boldin should reconsider his desire to leave Arizona. On another note, the Cardinals will try a more balanced attack, most likely featuring rookie runningback Beanie Wells.

Roy Williams came under the spotlight this off-season after the departure of Terrell Owens. Although Williams has been the “go-to guy” every year since high school, many still doubt his ability to catch footballs and pick up where Owens left off. Although I don’t see Williams matching the touchdown totals of Terrell Owens from 2007 (15), the Cowboys aren’t planning on targeting Williams as often as Owens was targeted. With the new “Romo-Friendly” offense Jerry Jones has tailored, Romo plans to spread the ball around more without forcing the ball to a specific receiver regardless of the receiver’s separation from the defender (as you may have noticed the past three years). However, if I were to force a ball to one of the two receivers, I believe Roy Williams would have the upper hand in catching the football in traffic or without separation from the defender. But the new plan does not force the ball to one receiver nor limit the catches to just wide receivers. Garrett plans to incorporate two rising stars, Felix Jones and Martellus Bennett, into the passing game. The fleet-footed runningback has been described as Dallas’ most indispensable player by team ownership, so why wouldn’t they try everything to put the ball in his hands?

Gabe Pinchev

The Perfect Weapon: Michael Vick

Vick
As teams around the league are asked of their interest level in soon to be released quarterback and inmate Michael Vick, most teams show distinct separation from the subject. Many organizations were quoted as saying that the acquisition of Michael Vick is "highly doubtful" and that they are "not interested." But why? Sure his image was ruined, boycotted, and defaced, but his athletic ability was unquestionable.

The obvious reason for turning the cheek on Michael Vick is his current prison sentence and the bad name associated with him. With the Vick name comes boycott; PETA comes to mind. So why is this a major problem? The NFL is still a business and will always be treated as so. If you don’t make the fans happy and make them want to buy apparel, attend games, and cheer on their team, you will ultimately land unsuccessful. Can his image be repaired? If you remember prior to the dog fighting scandal, Michael Vick was a household name, icon, and jersey seller. He was seen in Nike and Powerade commercials showcasing his iconic and athletic "super image." Michael Vick jerseys were once a hot commodity among Falcon fans, NFL fans, and street walkers. The Michael Vick jersey was worn as a sense of fashion in some areas. Who says a repaired image cannot return such glory to the Vick name? When Michael Vick played football, he simply put fans in seats and eyes on television sets. What more could you ask for as an owner?

One thing you could ask for in a player is talent. Michael Vick’s prior marketability did not come without talent. With his blazing speed and first-class agility, Vick ran the ball like a tailback. In his last season prior to suspension, Michael Vick rushed for over one thousand yards as a quarterback on only one hundred three carries. In case your math stayed in your SAT study guide, Vick averaged a little under eight and a half yards per carry: double the yardage that a good running back averages. So why did he not play running back? Other than the fact he may be slightly undersized, he had an arm too.

Michael Vick was known for his rocket arm. Vick’s arm is described as having the ability to effortlessly flick the ball sixty yards downfield without the use of legwork. Name me a running back in the NFL that can throw the ball sixty yards to begin with. Although his completion percentages were low, Vick seemed to have decent passing numbers with his no name, finger-less receivers. Vick always threw more touchdowns than interceptions, and even threw for twenty touchdowns the same year he rushed for one thousand yards. From what it seemed, Michael Vick possessed all the talent to make him the most lethal weapon of all time, but he seemed to have a tragic flaw. Vick lacked the decision-making skills. So what could you do with a player like this?

Although I do believe Michael Vick could start as the quarterback for many teams, he could provide the x-factor in today’s new style of play: the "Wildcat." What kind of player would you want as the signal caller in the Wildcat formation? Ideally, you would like someone who is fast and agile for the ability to run, but can also pass the ball in the option. Eerily enough, Michael Vick seems to fit the description perfectly. Ronnie Brown ran the "Wildcat" offense effectively in the 2008 season, enough to earn him a bid to the pro bowl. If Ronnie Brown is considered fast, what do you consider Vick’s speed who ran the forty yard dash in a reportedly faster time than Brown? In any case, Vick’s speed indicated enough presence as a runner. But what makes the "Wildcat" so dangerous? The option to throw the ball puts a halt on over pursue from the defenders. You cannot overload the run when a receiver is open down field. However, is Ronnie Brown that big of a threat through the air? Although I cannot specifically comment on Brown’s throwing ability, Vick’s former position as a quarterback certain warrants support in his case as a good passer. So with the two extraordinary abilities of Michael Vick mashed into the "Wildcat" formation, you have a defensive nightmare.

Along with preparing a regular defensive scheme for the regular offense, you must contend with the scary idea of having a physical "freak" running the "Wildcat." Although some teams may be better off with Michael Vick as their starting quarterback, almost all teams could easily implement a "Wildcat" package featuring the skills of Vick. Although Vick may carry a media circus with him to wherever he goes, his value in the new "Wildcat" sub package scheme spreading throughout the NFL is undeniable.

However, there are some potential problems. Vick carries with him an "untrade-friendly" high contract and bad name baggage. Ideally, a team would like to pick up Vick through free-agency if released to a low contract. But what about the hippies carrying the anti-Vick signs outside the practice field that would soon follow? Although Vick will forever be known as the dog fighter that was thrown in jail, he could try to help salvage his image through actions following his release. If he is able to rid his bad image, you still have to contend with his mentality. It might even run in the family: do you recall the Marcus Vick (Michael’s younger brother) incidences? Off the field, Marcus Vick was involved in two criminal convictions in 2004 alone. During the 2005 season he played at Virginia Tech, Marcus Vick was highly criticized for displaying the middle finger to a crowd and intentionally stomping the leg of an opponent. After being dismissed from Virginia Tech due to "a cumulative effect of legal infractions and unsportsmanlike play" (Hokie Sports), Vick had a brief stint with the Miami Dolphins as an undrafted free agent. After the non-existent career of Marcus Vick in the NFL, he continued to spiral down a path of legal trouble including brandishing firearms, molestation of a minor, countless speeding tickets, and a DUI. Do the brothers share a mentality? Perhaps they have similar characteristics, but for the benefit of the doubt, each person has his or her own independent identity. However, Vick does have his own line of some legal troubles including two incidents involving Marijuana. Two men were arrested in Virginia for distributing Marijuana with a truck that was registered to Michael Vick. A more interesting story however was the water-bottle compartment scandal. In the security check of an airport, Michael Vick’s water bottle was taken from him by airport security that had a secret compartment in it. Originally, security reported that there was marijuana-like substance inside the compartment, but it was later cleared after tests revealed that there were no illegal substances inside the water bottle. Vick claimed that the bottle was used to hold jewelry. What kind of jewelry did Vick own, jewelry that resembles marijuana? Although these seem to be minor character flaws, Vick was also fined $10,000 and ordered to donate $10,000 to charity for giving the middle finger to an unimpressed, booing Atlanta Falcon crowd after losing a game at the Georgia Dome. What’s with the Vicks and their middle fingers? Altogether, the Vick family does not seem to mesh too well with authority.

Is Vick worth the risk? Is he worth the baggage, the boycott, and the media circus? I do not think the high-profile Cowboys could afford to take a stab at Vick with the current media circus surrounding them, but many under-the-radar teams could spice up their image with some Vick on their roster. Although the Dolphins liked to run the "Wildcat," I do not see Parcells having any of that. The Vikings on the other hand seem to be an interesting match. Adrian Peterson has recently garnered the face of the franchise, and I do not think Vick could deter the new Viking image. In any case, many see Tarvaris Jackson as a "poor man’s" Michael Vick, so why not just get the real deal? Wherever Michael Vick could fit, I do not see him having anymore behavioral problems, at least not after what he went through with the dog-fighting scandal. However, I was wrong about the Cowboy experiment with Adam Jones, he ended up being released after only one season in which he was suspended. But to Adam Jones’ defense, the bodyguard dispute was very minor and the incident that removed Adam Jones from the Cowboys happened prior to his signing with Dallas. Your history does come back to bite you in the behind. What it comes down to, if your team hides in the shadows of the media spot-light, you have some quarterback inconsistency, and you want to add another dimension to spice up your offense, Vick might be right for you.

Gabe Pinchev

Tony Romo: The Real MVP (Updated as of Week 12)

Romo

Let’s define the award MVP. MVP stands for Most Valuable Player. The word value means the worth an object possesses in relativity. In football context, the most valuable player would be a player that the team values the most, and in turn, holds the greatest value to a team out of all the teams. Under my interpretation, the MVP award goes to the player that is most important to the success of his team and has the greatest impact on his team compared to players around the league. How does the team do with and without the player?

Although you cannot always examine a team without a certain player if they never leave the game, you can judge their value to a team based on the talent and productivity around them. Of course you can judge a player off of statistics, and many MVP winners win their award based off incredible statistics, but it never tells the true story. In order to fully analyze a player’s ability you have to read between the stat lines and look at the bigger picture down to their own performance.

An obvious MVP candidate so far would be Kurt Warner, who not only leagues the lead in passing yards and touchdown passes, but has brought his team to 7-4 and leading the division. But if you read between the lines, the Cardinals tell a different story. Kurt Warner throws to arguably the best receiving tandem in the league with Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald, both of which are top five in the league in receiving yards per game. It might go both ways; however, does Kurt Warner make the receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin who they are? Does he make them the top receivers in the game?

Kurt Warner isn’t doing it by himself. Boldin, although missing games, leads the league in yards after the catch even as a receiver. Only five of the top eleven yards after the catch receivers are wide receivers. Why does that matter? Yards after the catch is a stat that is mostly dominated by running backs catching balls in the flats or with dump-off throws. Just how good is Boldin at yards after the catch? Boldin not only leads the league in yards after the catch, but he has missed two games in which the gap could potentially have separated. Not only does Kurt Warner have the leading receiver with yards after the catch, but also Larry Fitzgerald ranks eighth for receivers in the category.

Tony Romo, on the other hand, not only has the stats, but has showed his value as well. At this point in the season, Romo is averaging 278 yards per game, 40 yards less per game than Warner, but Warner attempts 7 more passes a game. As a result, with the same amount of attempts, Romo would average more yards a game. Touchdown wise, Kurt Warner has thrown 21 touchdowns to Romo’s 18 touchdowns. However, Romo has played three less games, and averages 2.25 touchdowns a game to Warner’s 1.9 touchdowns a game.

The main focus of the award is value. After watching Romo leave the lineup with injury, Brad Johnson, super bowl champion quarterback, led the team to a 1-2 record. The only win came with a defensive hold to 9 points. Even with the addition of Roy Williams, Brad Johnson threw only two touchdown passes in three games, and threw for five interceptions. Brad Johnson threw only two less interceptions than Tony Romo did in five less games. During Johnson’s tenure at quarterback, the team scored a total of 41 points over three games, the same amount of points the team scored against the Eagles in one game with Romo at quarterback.

As Romo returned to the lineup, the team has gone 2-0 with an important win over the division rival Washington Redskins. A common rebuttal for Tony Romo’s excelled play was his array of weapons. Romo’s weapons and the addition of Roy Williams went silent under Brad Johnson. Terrell Owens, who previously had a 36 yard per game average under Brad Johnson, exploded against the San Francisco 49ers for over 200 yards receiving due to the great play and deep ball of Tony Romo.

Through the revival of the Dallas Cowboys since the return of Tony Romo, coupled with his statistical output, Romo demonstrates his value and significance to the team. As the Cowboys went from a super bowl contender with Romo, to one of the worst teams when he left with injury, and back to playoff shape as he returned to the team, Romo shows his ability and value to the Dallas Cowboys.

Gabe Pinchev